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Hupfumi hweUK huri kukanganiswa zvakanyanya nekukwira kwemitengo uye mhedzisiro yeBrexit. Mumwedzi ichangopfuura, mitengo yakakwira zvakanyanya, izvo zvave kuita kuti vanhu vazhinji vadzivise kushandisa mari yakawanda pazvinhu, zvichikonzera kuwanda kwekubiwa kwezvitoro. Mamwe masupamaketi akatoita zvekukiya bota kudzivirira kubiwa.

Mugari wemumambure wekuBritain nguva pfupi yadarika akawana bhotoro rakavharwa muchitoro chemuLondon, zvichimutsa gakava pamhepo. Zvinoenderana neazvino data yakaburitswa neUK indasitiri yechikafu munaKurume 28, chiyero chekudyara munyika munaKurume chakakwira kusvika parekodhi-kutyora 17.5%, nemazai, mukaka, uye chizi pakati peinokurumidza kukurumidza mumutengo. Kukwira kwemitengo kwakakwira kuri kukonzera kumwe kurwadza kwevatengi vari kunetsekana nemutengo wedambudziko rekurarama.

Kutevera Brexit, UK yakatarisana nekushomeka kwevashandi, nevashandi zviuru mazana mana nemakumi matanhatu eEU vari kubuda munyika. Muna Ndira 2020, UK yakasiya zviri pamutemo muEU, ichiunza hurongwa hutsva hwemapoinzi-based immigration kudzikisa kutama kweEU sekuvimbiswa nevatsigiri veBrexit. Nekudaro, kunyangwe hurongwa hutsva hwakabudirira kudzikamisa kubuda kweEU, zvapinzawo mabhizinesi mudambudziko revashandi, zvichiwedzera kusagadzikana kuhupfumi hweUK hwatove nehusimbe.

Sechikamu chechibvumirano cheBrexit chemushandirapamwe, iyo UK yakagadzirisa hurongwa hwayo hwekubuda kwevanhu munyika kuti dzigadzirise kuwanda kwevashandi veEU. Iyo nyowani-yakavakirwa mapoinzi system, yakaitwa muna Ndira 2021, inobata EU nevasiri veEU vagari zvakaenzana. Vanyoreri vanopihwa mapoinzi zvichienderana nehunyanzvi hwavo, hunhu, mwero wemihoro, kugona mutauro, uye mikana yebasa, kune avo chete vane mapoinzi akakwana vanopihwa mvumo yekushanda muUK.

Aftermath1

Vanhu vane hunyanzvi vakaita sesainzi, mainjiniya, uye nyanzvi ndivo vava chinangwa chikuru chekubuda muUK. Nekudaro, kubva pakaitwa hurongwa hutsva hwemapoinzi, UK yakasangana nekushomeka kwakanyanya kwevashandi. Chirevo chakaitwa neParamende yeUK chakaratidza kuti 13.3% yemabhizinesi akaongororwa muna Mbudzi 2022 anga akatarisana nekushomeka kwevashandi, nenzvimbo dzekugara uye dzekudya dzichisangana nekushomeka kwakanyanya pa35.5%, uye kuvaka pa20.7%.

Ongororo yakaburitswa neCentre for European Reform muna Ndira yakaratidza kuti kubva pakatanga kushanda hurongwa hutsva hwemapoinzi-based immigration muna 2021, huwandu hwevashandi veEU muUK hwakadzikira ne460,000 muna Chikumi 2022. yakazadza gaka, musika wevashandi weUK uchiri kutarisana nekushomeka kwakanyanya kwevashandi mazana matatu nemakumi matatu ezviuru muzvikamu zvitanhatu zvakakosha.

Gore rakapera, pamusoro pe22,000 UK makambani akashaya mari, kuwedzera kwe57% zvichienzaniswa negore rapfuura. Pepanhau reFinancial Times rakashuma kuti inflation uye kuwedzera kwemhindu ndezvimwe zvezvikonzero zviri kukonzera kuwanda kwekubhuroka. Zvivakwa zveUK, zvekutengesa, uye zvekugamuchira vaenzi zvakarohwa zvakanyanya nekuderera kwehupfumi uye kudzikira kuvimba kwevatengi.

Sekureva kweInternational Monetary Fund (IMF), iyo UK ichave imwe yehupfumi husingaite zvakanyanya muna 2023. Yekutanga data kubva kuUK's Hofisi yeNational Statistics yakaratidza kuti GDP yenyika yakamira muQ4 2022, nekukura kwegore. ye4%. Economist Samuel Tombs wePantheon Macroeconomics akati pakati penyika dzeG7, UK ndiyo chete hupfumi husati hwanyatso dzika kusvika padanho rekutanga denda, richiwira mukuderera.

Aftermath2

Vaongorori veDeloitte vanotenda kuti hupfumi hweUK hwave hwakamira kwenguva yakati rebei, uye GDP inotarisirwa kudzikira muna 2023. IMF ichangoburwa World Economic Outlook report, yakabudiswa musi wa11 Kubvumbi, inofanotaura kuti hupfumi hweUK huchabatana ne0.3% muna 2023, zvichiita kuti zvidaro. imwe yehupfumi hukuru husina kunaka pasi rose. Chirevo ichi chinoratidzawo kuti UK ichave nehupfumi hwakaipisisa pakati peG7 uye imwe yeakaipisisa muG20.

Aftermath3

Chirevo ichi chinofanotaura kuti hupfumi hwepasi rose huchakura ne2.8% muna 2023, 0.1 muzana yakaderera kubva pane zvakafanotaurwa. Misika iri kusimukira uye hupfumi huri kusimukira hunotarisirwa kukura ne3.9% gore rino uye 4.2% muna 2024, nepo hupfumi hwepamusoro huchaona kukura kwe1.3% muna 2023 uye 1.4% muna 2024.

Matambudziko akatarisana nehupfumi hweUK zvichitevera Brexit uye pakati pekukwira kwemitengo yakakwira anoratidza matambudziko ekuenda ega kunze kweEuropean Union. Sezvo nyika iri kunetsekana nekushomeka kwevashandi, kubhuroka kwakawedzera, uye kuderera kwehupfumi hwenyika, zviri kuramba zvichijeka kuti chiono cheUK post-Brexit chiri kurova zvipingamupinyi zvakakura. Nekufanotaura kweIMF kuti UK ichave imwe yehupfumi husina kunaka munguva pfupi iri kutevera, nyika inofanirwa kugadzirisa nyaya idzi kuti idzore makwikwi uye kumutsiridza hupfumi hwayo.


Nguva yekutumira: Kubvumbi-13-2023

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