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Wax-soo-saarka bisha Abriil ee Shiinaha ayaa kor u kacay 8.5% sannadkiiba marka loo eego doollarka Maraykanka, taas oo dhaaftay wixii laga filayey.

Talaadadii, May 9-keedii, Maamulka Guud ee Kastamka ayaa soo saaray xog tilmaamaysa in wadarta guud ee wax soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta Shiinaha ay gaareen $500.63 bilyan bishii Abriil, taasoo muujineysa koror 1.1%. Gaar ahaan, dhoofinta ayaa gaadhay $295.42 bilyan, kor u kacday 8.5%, halka wax soo dejinta ay gaadhay $205.21 bilyan, taas oo muujinaysa hoos u dhac 7.9%. Sidaa awgeed, korodhka ganacsiga ayaa balaariyay 82.3%, isagoo gaaray $90.21 bilyan.

Marka la eego yuan-ka Shiinaha, soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta Shiinaha ee Abriil waxay dhammaatay ¥3.43 tiriliyan, taasoo ka dhigan 8.9% koror. Waxa ka mid ah kuwan, Dhoofintu waxay ahayd ¥2.02 tiriliyan, oo kordhay 16.8%, halka soo dejinta ay gaadhay ¥1.41 tiriliyan, oo hoos u dhacday 0.8%. Sidaa awgeed, korodhka ganacsiga ayaa ku fiday 96.5%, isagoo gaadhay ¥618.44 bilyan.

Falanqeeyayaasha maaliyadeed waxay soo jeedinayaan in kororka dhoofinta sanadlaha ah ee wanaagsan ee sanadka ee Abriil loo saari karo saameynta hoose ee hoose.

Intii lagu jiray Abriil 2022, Shanghai iyo degaannada kale waxay la kulmeen heerarkii ugu sarreeyay ee kiisaska COVID-19, taasoo keentay in saldhigga dhoofinta uu aad hoos ugu dhaco. Saamayntan hoose ee aasaasiga ahi waxay ugu horayn gacan ka gaysatay kobaca dhoofinta wanaagsan ee sanadba sanadka ka dambeeya bisha Abriil. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, heerka kobaca dhoofinta bisha ee 6.4% aad ayuu uga hooseeyaa heerka isbeddelka xilliyeedka ee caadiga ah, taas oo muujinaysa xawliga dhabta ah ee dhoofinta bisha, taasoo la jaanqaadaysa isbeddellada caalamiga ah ee hoos u dhaca ganacsiga.

Falanqaynta badeecooyinka muhiimka ah, dhoofinta baabuurta iyo maraakiibta ayaa door weyn ka ciyaartay dardargelinta waxqabadka ganacsiga shisheeye bishii Abriil. Iyada oo ku saleysan xisaabinta yuan Shiinaha, qiimaha dhoofinta baabuurta (oo ay ku jiraan chassis) ayaa goob joog u ahaa kobac sanadeedka 195.7%, halka dhoofinta maraakiibta ay kor u kacday 79.2%.

Marka la eego wada-hawlgalayaasha ganacsiga, tirada dalalka iyo gobollada ay la kulmayaan hoos u dhac ku yimid isugeynta qiimaha ganacsiga ee sannadlaha ah muddada u dhexeysa Jannaayo ilaa Abriil ayaa hoos u dhacday oo noqotay shan, marka la barbar dhigo bishii hore, iyadoo heerka hoos u dhaca uu sii yaraanayo.

Dhoofinta ASEAN iyo Midowga Yurub ayaa muujinaya kobac, halka kuwa Mareykanka iyo Japan ay hoos u dhacaan.

Sida laga soo xigtay xogta kastamka, bishii Abriil, oo ka mid ah saddexda suuq ee dhoofinta ugu sarreeya, wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha ee ASEAN wuxuu kordhay 4.5% sannadkiiba marka loo eego dollarka Maraykanka, dhoofinta Midowga Yurub wuxuu kordhay 3.9%, halka dhoofinta loo dhoofiyo Maraykanka uu hoos u dhacay. 6.5%

Inta lagu jiro afartii bilood ee ugu horeysay sanadka, ASEAN waxa ay sii ahaan jirtay ganacsiga ugu weyn ee Shiinaha, iyada oo ganacsiga laba geesoodka ah uu gaaray ¥2.09 trillion, taasoo ka dhigan kobaca 13.9% oo xisaabinaya 15.7% wadarta qiimaha ganacsiga shisheeye ee Shiinaha. Gaar ahaan, wax-soo-saarka ASEAN wuxuu gaaray ¥1.27 tiriliyan, oo koray 24.1%, halka waxsoosaarka ASEAN uu gaaray ¥820.03 bilyan, oo kordhay 1.1%. Sidaa awgeed, korodhka ganacsiga ee ASEAN wuxuu ku fiday 111.4%, isagoo gaadhay ¥451.55 bilyan.

Midowga Yurub ayaa ku qiimeeyay inuu yahay lammaanaha labaad ee ugu weyn Shiinaha, iyadoo ganacsiga laba geesoodka ah uu gaaray ¥1.8 tiriliyan, oo uu kordhay 4.2% uuna ku xisaabtamayo 13.5%. Gaar ahaan, wax-soo-saarka loo dhoofiyo Midowga Yurub wuxuu gaaray ¥1.17 tiriliyan, taasoo kor u kacday 3.2%, halka waxsoosaarka Midowga Yurub uu gaaray ¥631.35 bilyan, kaasoo kordhay 5.9%. Sidaa awgeed, korodhka ganacsiga ee Midowga Yurub ayaa ku fiday 0.3%, isagoo gaadhay ¥541.46 bilyan.

"ASEAN waxay sii ahaanaysaa lammaanaha ganacsiga ugu weyn ee Shiinaha, oo ku fidaya ASEAN iyo suuqyada kale ee soo koraya waxay siisaa adkeysi dheeraad ah dhoofinta Shiinaha." Falanqeeyayaasha ayaa aaminsan in xiriirka dhaqaalaha iyo ganacsiga ee Sino-Yurub uu muujinayo isbeddel wanaagsan, taasoo ka dhigaysa xiriirka ganacsiga ASEAN taageero adag oo loogu talagalay ganacsiga shisheeye, taasoo soo jeedinaysa koritaanka mustaqbalka.

Waxaa xusid mudan, wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha ee Ruushka wuxuu la kulmay koror la taaban karo sannad-sannad-ba sanadkasta 153.1% bishii Abriil, taasoo calaamad u ah laba bilood oo isku xigta oo koror saddex-god ah. Falanqeeyayaasha ayaa soo jeedinaya in tani ay inta badan sabab u tahay Ruushka oo u weeciyay alaabada uu ka keeno Yurub iyo gobollada kale ee Shiinaha isagoo ka soo horjeeda cunaqabateynta caalamiga ah ee sii kordhay.

Si kastaba ha ahaatee, falanqeeyayaasha ayaa ka digaya in inkasta oo ganacsiga shisheeye ee Shiinaha uu dhawaan muujiyay kobac lama filaan ah, waxay u badan tahay in loo aaneeyo dheef-shiid kiimikaadka amarada dib-u-celinta ee rubuci afraad ee sannadkii hore. Iyadoo la tixgalinayo hoos u dhaca weyn ee dhawaanahan ku yimid wax-soo-saarka dhoofinta dalalka deriska ah sida Kuuriyada Koonfureed iyo Vietnam, guud ahaan xaaladda baahida dibadda ee caalamiga ah ayaa weli ah mid adag, taasoo muujineysa in ganacsiga shisheeye ee Shiinaha uu weli wajahayo caqabado daran.

Kor u kaca Baabuurta iyo Dhoofinta Maraakiibta

Badeecadaha muhiimka ah ee dhoofinta, marka loo eego doollarka Maraykanka, qiimaha dhoofinta baabuurta (oo uu ku jiro chassis) wuxuu kordhay 195.7% bishii Abriil, halka dhoofinta maraakiibtu ay kordheen 79.2%. Intaa waxaa dheer, dhoofinta kiisaska, bacaha, iyo weelasha la midka ah ayaa ka marag kacay kobac dhan 36.8%.

Suuqa ayaa si weyn u xusay in dhoofinta baabuurta ay ilaaliyeen heerka kobaca degdega ah bishii Abriil. Xogtu waxay muujinaysaa in laga bilaabo Jannaayo ilaa Abriil, qiimaha dhoofinta baabuurta (oo uu ku jiro chassis) uu kordhay 120.3% sannad kasta. Marka loo eego xisaabinta hay'adaha, qiimaha dhoofinta baabuurta (oo ay ku jiraan chassis) ayaa kordhay 195.7% sanad ka dib bishii Abriil.

Hadda, warshaduhu waxay weli rajo ka qabaan rajada dhoofinta baabuurta ee Shiinaha. Ururka Shiinaha ee warshadeeyayaasha baabuurta ayaa saadaaliyay in dhoofinta baabuurta gudaha ay gaari doonto 4 milyan oo baabuur sanadkan. Intaa waxaa dheer, qaar ka mid ah falanqeeyayaasha ayaa aaminsan in Shiinaha ay u badan tahay inuu dhaafo Japan oo uu noqdo dhoofinta baabuurta ugu weyn adduunka sanadkan.

Cui Dongshu, Xoghayaha Guud ee Shirka Wadajirka ah ee Macluumaadka Suuqa Gaadiidka Qaranka ee Rakaabka, ayaa sheegay in suuqa dhoofinta baabuurta ee Shiinaha uu muujiyay kobac xooggan labadii sano ee la soo dhaafay. Kobaca dhoofintu waxa inta badan horseeda kororka dhoofinta baabuurta tamarta cusub, kuwaas oo arkay kobac weyn oo mugga dhoofinta iyo celceliska qiimaha labadaba.

"Iyada oo lagu salaynayo dabagalka baabuurta Shiinuhu u dhoofiyo suuqyada dibadda sanadka 2023, wax-soo-saarka wadamada waaweyn ayaa muujiyay kobac xooggan. Inkasta oo wax-soo-saarka loo dhoofiyo cirifka koonfureed uu hoos u dhacay, dhoofinta dalalka horumaray waxay muujisay koboc tayo sare leh, taasoo muujinaysa guud ahaan waxqabadka wanaagsan ee dhoofinta baabuurta.

Mareykanka ayaa ku jira kaalinta saddexaad ee ganacsiga ugu weyn Shiinaha, iyadoo ganacsiga laba geesoodka ah uu gaaray ¥1.5 tiriliyan, hoos u dhac ku yimid 4.2% wuxuuna ku xisaabtamayaa 11.2%. Gaar ahaan, wax-soo-saarka Mareykanka wuxuu gaaray ¥1.09 tiriliyan, hoos ayuu u dhacay 7.5%, halka wax-soo-saarka Mareykanka uu gaaray ¥410.06 bilyan, taasoo kor u kacday 5.8%. Sidaa darteed, korodhka ganacsiga ee Mareykanka ayaa lagu soo koobay 14.1%, isagoo gaaray ¥676.89 bilyan. Marka la eego doollarka Mareykanka, wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha ee Mareykanka wuxuu hoos u dhacay 6.5% bishii Abriil, halka wax soo dejinta Mareykanka uu hoos u dhacay 3.1%.

Japan waxay ku jirtaa kaalinta afraad ee ganacsiga ugu weyn Shiinaha, iyadoo ganacsiga laba geesoodka ahi uu gaadhay ¥731.66 bilyan, hoos u dhac ku yimid 2.6% wuxuuna ku xisaabtamayaa 5.5%. Gaar ahaan, wax-soo-saarka Japan ayaa gaaray ¥375.24 bilyan, taasoo kor u kacday 8.7%, halka waxsoosaarka Japan uu gaaray ¥356.42 bilyan, hoos u dhac ku yimid 12.1%. Sidaa awgeed, korodhka ganacsiga ee Japan ayaa gaadhay ¥18.82 bilyan, marka la barbar dhigo hoos u dhac ganacsi oo ah ¥ 60.44 bilyan isla muddadaas sannadkii hore.

Isla muddadaas, wadarta guud ee soo dejinta iyo dhoofinta Shiinaha ee waddammada ay weheliyaan Hindisaha Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) ayaa gaadhay ¥4.61 trillion, oo kordhay 16%. Waxaa ka mid ah, dhoofinta waxay gaareysay ¥2.76 tiriliyan, taasoo kor u kacday 26%, halka soo dejinta ay gaartay ¥1.85 tiriliyan, oo kordhay 3.8%. Gaar ahaan, ganacsiga dalalka Aasiyada Dhexe, sida Kazakhstan, iyo Galbeedka Aasiya iyo Waqooyiga Afrika, sida Sacuudi Carabiya, wuxuu kordhay 37.4% iyo 9.6%, siday u kala horreeyaan.

Cui Dongshu wuxuu sii sharraxay in hadda ay jirto baahi weyn oo loo qabo gawaarida tamarta cusub ee Yurub, taasoo siinaya fursado dhoofin heer sare ah Shiinaha. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, waa in la ogaadaa in suuqa dhoofinta ee noocyada tamarta cusub ee Shiinaha ay ku xiran tahay isbeddel weyn.

Dhanka kale, dhoofinta baytariyada lithium-ka iyo baalayaasha cadceedda ayaa sii waday inay si degdeg ah u koraan bishii Abriil, taasoo ka tarjumaysa saamaynta dhiirrigelinta isbeddelka warshadaha wax-soo-saarka Shiinaha iyo cusboonaysiinta dhoofinta.